Posted on 17 October 2009
Well, not really a preview but our selections and a few notes. The only thing we are 100% certain of is that after the running of the race, the Melbourne Cup markets will be completely changed and more then likely have a new favourite. The Caulfield Cup more then any other race has the greatest impact on the Melbourne Cup market, aside from scratchings of course. So come about 4:06:30 or there about, talk will turn to which horse had the best Melbourne Cup runs outside of the Caulfield Cup winner. So keep your eyes open for fast finishers.
This year, we have found it hard to narrow down a selection on the Caulfiled Cup with a number of horses ticking a few boxes but not all. It would appear the betting public in general has the same issues given the openness of betting markets.
Our selections with BetFair odds
Predatory Pricer ($9.40)
Daffodil ($10.00)
Kirkless ($9.40)
Allez Wonder ($12.00)
We’ll probably have these boxed up in some exotics as there is not enough confidence around to pick one out, if Predatory Pricer had a gate inside 11 as opposed to the wide 16 then it would be our sole selection. Given that, if it can settle and race mid field as opposed to pushing forward it will be hard to beat.
For other races
Caulfield Race 6 – Harrolds Stakes No.3 Typhoon Tracy (If it wins each way on Vigor in the Caulfield Cup as a rough chance)
Caulfield Race 7 - David Jones Cup No.7 Shocking
Caulfeild Race 9 – Caulfield Sprint No.9 Phelan Ready
Randwick Race 4 – Inglis Handicap No.2 Bandar
Randwick Race 6 – Tattersalls Cup No.5 Macknuckle
Eagle Farm Race 4 – O’Donnell Griffin No.1 Sneaky Long
Enjoy, and we hope you have a successful Caulfield Cup day
Posted on 15 October 2009
Yeseterday’s Barrier Draw for the $2.5M 2009 Caulfield Cup has thrown the betting wide open. On top of the recent withdrawals of Maldivian and Speed Gifted this is perhaps one of the most open Cup in recent memory. It also has elevated the Godolphin runner, Kirkless into favouriatism wtih a good draw of gate 11 and 2nd favouriate the Luca Cumani-trained Cima De Triomphe in barrier 11.
Previous Caulfield Cup favouriate Predatory Pricer will need to work from the wide ally of 16. 2007 winner, Master O’Reilly was not done any favours either being allocated gate 18.
I was going to back up again on Predatory Pricer after his narrow loss to Efficient last start, but now with the barrier draw may need to re-think where the hard earnt money will be placed.
For the Melbourne Cup, we’ll watch with interest to see how the foreign horses travel to get a measure of their possible Melborne Cup runs.
CAULFIELD CUP BARRIER DRAW
| No |
Horse |
Barrier |
Trainer |
Jockey |
Weight |
| 1 |
VIEWED |
15 |
Bart Cummings |
Brad Rawiller |
57 |
| 2 |
KIRKLEES (IRE) |
7 |
Saeed Bin Suroor |
Kerrin McEvoy |
56 |
| 3 |
C’EST LA GUERRE (NZ) |
13 |
John Sadler |
Steven Arnold |
55.5 |
| 4 |
CIMA DE TRIOMPHE (IRE) |
11 |
Luca Cumani |
Damien Oliver |
55.5 |
| 5 |
FIUMICINO (NZ) |
20 |
Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes |
Dwayne Dunn |
55.5 |
| 6 |
MASTER O’REILLY (NZ) |
18 |
Danny O’Brien |
Vlad Duric |
55 |
| 7 |
ROMAN EMPEROR (NZ) |
5 |
Bart Cummings |
Hugh Bowman |
54 |
| 8 |
SARRERA |
10 |
Michael Moroney |
Nick Hall |
54 |
| 9 |
PREDATORY PRICER |
16 |
Paul Murray |
Steven King |
53.5 |
| 10 |
RED RULER (NZ) |
14 |
John Sargent |
Danny Nikolic |
53.5 |
| 11 |
ZAVITE (NZ) |
8 |
Anthony Cummings |
Mark Zahra |
53 |
| 12 |
HARRIS TWEED (NZ) |
2 |
Murray & Bjorn Baker |
Craig Newitt |
52.5 |
| 13 |
LIGHT VISION (NZ) |
19 |
Robert Smerdon |
Luke Nolen |
52.5 |
| 14 |
DAFFODIL (NZ) |
4 |
Kevin Gray |
Chris Munce |
51.5 |
| 15 |
READY TO LIFT |
12 |
Gerald Ryan |
Glen Boss |
51.5 |
| 16 |
RED LORD |
3 |
Anthony Cummings |
Glyn Schofield |
51.5 |
| 17 |
VIGOR (NZ) |
22 |
Danny O’Brien |
Corey Brown |
51 |
| 18 |
ALLEZ WONDER |
6 |
Bart Cummings |
Michelle Payne |
50 |
| 19 |
BAUGHURST (1ST EMG) |
21 |
Bill & Symon Wilde |
|
52.5 |
| 20 |
SHOCKING (2ND EMG) |
17 |
Mark Kavanagh |
|
51 |
| 21 |
NEWPORT (3RD EMG) |
1 |
Paul Perry |
Peter Wells |
52.5 |
| 22 |
MISS DARCEY (4TH EMG) |
9 |
Anthony Cummings |
|
50 |